US Stocks signal
TSLA

TSLA

Tesla, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksAuto ManufacturersNMSUSD-32.1% from ATH
Current Price

$332.81

Drawdown from ATH

-32.1%

Last Updated

Aug 12, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against TSLA's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TSLA's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-20.87%
Jun 30Aug 11
About TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

Tesla, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, leases, and sells electric vehicles, and energy generation and storage systems in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Automotive; and Energy Generation and Storage. The company offers electric vehicles, as well as sells automotive regulatory credits; and non-warranty maintenance services and collision, automotive insurance services, as well as part sales and retail merchandise sale. It also provides sed

The reading

How Dipsern reads TSLA right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TSLA doing right now?

In plain terms: TSLA is 32.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) is trading in a deep drawdown, 32.1% below its all-time high at $332.81. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for TSLA specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

TSLA reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (313 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for TSLA

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TSLA's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Roper Technologies

-32.1% from ATH

Weyerhaeuser

-32.0% from ATH

Marvell Technology

-32.9% from ATH

Humana

-31.1% from ATH

Regeneron Pharmaceuticals

-33.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TSLA. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%10
-70% to -65%12
-65% to -60%28
-60% to -55%112
-55% to -50%113
-50% to -45%134
-45% to -40%182
-40% to -35%224
-35% to -30%Current313
-30% to -25%423
-25% to -20%502
-20% to -15%511
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TSLA's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TSLA's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TSLA.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TSLA at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 12, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.