Canadian Stocks signal
TPZ

TPZ

Topaz Energy Corp. · Energy

Canadian StocksOil & Gas MidstreamTORCAD-8.1% from ATH
Current Price

$30.82

Drawdown from ATH

-8.1%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against TPZ's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TPZ's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-3.05%
May 5Jun 16
About TPZ

Topaz Energy Corp.

Topaz Energy Corp. operates as a royalty and infrastructure energy company in Canada. It operates through Royalty Production and Infrastructure segments. The company holds royalty interests on approximately 9 million gross acres of developed and undeveloped lands. It is also involved in operating natural gas processing facilities; and associated crude oil and condensate handling facilities, as well as water management infrastructure. The company was formerly known as Exshaw Oil Corp. and changed

The reading

How Dipsern reads TPZ right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TPZ doing right now?

In plain terms: TPZ is 8.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now TPZ — Topaz Energy Corp — is in a shallow pullback, down 8.1% from its record high. Last price: $30.82. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, TPZ has spent enough trading days in the 10%-to-5% drawdown band to build a large sample (301 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for TPZ

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TPZ's own volatility history. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other Canadian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TPZ's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Saputo Inc

-8.1% from ATH

Brookfield Renewable Partners LP

-8.2% from ATH

Capstone Copper Corp

-7.7% from ATH

Hudbay Minerals Inc

-7.6% from ATH

TMX Group Ltd

-9.2% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TPZ. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-25% to -20%27
-20% to -15%154
-15% to -10%261
-10% to -5%Current301
-5% to 0%615
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TPZ's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TPZ's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TPZ.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TPZ at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.