TOY

How is TOY doing right now?

In plain terms: TOY is 67.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now TOY — Spin Master Corp — is in a historic crash, down 67.3% from its record high. Last price: $18.39. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for TOY — 107 confirmed observations in the 70%-to-65% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in canadian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for TOY

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TOY's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.