TOTVS S.A. · Technology
$28.62
-40.0%
Jun 17, 2026
B
SolidGraded against TOTS3's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: A solid but not standout setup based on TOTS3's own past dips at this level.
What to do: Fine for dollar-cost-averaging; a deeper dip has historically graded higher.
TOTVS S.A. develops and sells management software, and productivity and collaboration platforms in Brazil and internationally. It offers an ERP platform, which integrates software management, social networks, real-time reporting, and other applications; business intelligence solutions comprising data integration; Fluig platform; and HR solutions, such as payroll, electronic point, social security and safety, and human capital management services. The company also provides implementation, consult
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: TOTS3 is 40% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
TOTVS SA (TOTS3) sits 40.0% off its peak and is currently in a severe drawdown, last printing at $28.62. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for TOTS3 — 91 confirmed observations in the 45%-to-40% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in brazilian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to TOTS3's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.
Five tickers closest to TOTS3's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TOTS3. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of TOTS3's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TOTS3.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TOTS3 at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.