US Stocks signal
TJX

TJX

The TJX Companies, Inc. · Consumer Cyclical

US StocksApparel RetailNYQUSD-1.2% from ATH
Current Price

$166.32

Drawdown from ATH

-1.2%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against TJX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: TJX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+7.68%
May 5Jun 16
About TJX

The TJX Companies, Inc.

The TJX Companies, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an off-price apparel and home fashions retailer worldwide. The company operates through four segments: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. It offers family apparel comprising footwear; accessories, such as beauty and jewelry; home fashion products, including home basics, decorative accessories and giftware, as well as furniture, rugs, lighting, soft home, decorative accessories, tabletop, and cookware; pet an

The reading

How Dipsern reads TJX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is TJX doing right now?

In plain terms: TJX is 1.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now TJX — TJX Companies — is at or near all-time highs, down 1.2% from its record high. Last price: $166.32. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

TJX reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (3601 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for TJX

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to TJX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Equinix

-1.4% from ATH

Travelers Companies (The)

-1.1% from ATH

CSX Corporation

-1.4% from ATH

Linde plc

-1.0% from ATH

KeyCorp

-1.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for TJX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%86
-60% to -55%199
-55% to -50%172
-50% to -45%214
-45% to -40%293
-40% to -35%265
-35% to -30%317
-30% to -25%324
-25% to -20%380
-20% to -15%745
-15% to -10%1051
-10% to -5%2108
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of TJX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock TJX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for TJX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy TJX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.