ETFs signal
SSO

SSO

ProShares Ultra S&P500

ETFsPCXUSD-2.8% from ATH
Current Price

$68.04

Drawdown from ATH

-2.8%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against SSO's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: SSO's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+6.60%
May 5Jun 16
About SSO

ProShares Ultra S&P500

The fund invests in financial instruments that the advisors believe, in combination, should produce daily returns consistent with the Daily Target. The index is designed to measure the performance of 500 of the largest companies listed and domiciled in the U.S. Under normal circumstances, the fund will obtain leveraged exposure to at least 80% of its total assets in components of the index or in instruments with similar economic characteristics. The fund is non-diversified.

The reading

How Dipsern reads SSO right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is SSO doing right now?

In plain terms: SSO is 2.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

SSO (ProShares Ultra S&P500) is 2.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $68.04. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically ETFs assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

SSO reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (1958 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for SSO

For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other ETFs at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to SSO's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Vanguard Financials ETF

-2.9% from ATH

United States Copper Index Fund

-2.6% from ATH

iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

-2.5% from ATH

iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF

-2.5% from ATH

Vanguard S&P 500 Growth ETF

-3.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SSO. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%17
-80% to -75%59
-75% to -70%102
-70% to -65%55
-65% to -60%143
-60% to -55%144
-55% to -50%128
-50% to -45%115
-45% to -40%234
-40% to -35%255
-35% to -30%211
-30% to -25%185
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of SSO's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock SSO's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SSO.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SSO at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.