SPX

How is SPX doing right now?

In plain terms: SPX is 59.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

SPX (Spirax Group plc) is 59.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $6,885. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

What history says at this drawdown

SPX reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (324 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

What this means for SPX

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to SPX's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.