Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF
$29.67
-0.4%
Aug 7, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against SCHB's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: SCHB's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
To pursue its goal, the fund generally invests in stocks that are included in the index. The index includes the largest 2,500 publicly traded U.S. companies for which pricing information is readily available. The fund will invest at least 90% of its net assets in these stocks. It may invest up to 10% of its net assets in securities not included in the index.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: SCHB is 0.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Right now SCHB — Schwab U.S. Broad Market ETF — is at or near all-time highs, down 0.4% from its record high. Last price: $29.67. When an asset is this close to highs, drawdown signals are mostly noise — the more useful question is whether the next 5-10% pullback will be bought aggressively.
Across all available history, SCHB has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (2975 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
ETFs aggregate constituent behavior, so their drawdowns tend to be shallower but more persistent than single stocks. The median forward return at a given drawdown level for an ETF is usually a more stable signal than for an individual equity. Use this snapshot to set expectations: this is where the asset is, not where it's likely to go. Drawdown-based signals only become high-conviction below shallow-pullback territory.
Five tickers closest to SCHB's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for SCHB. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of SCHB's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for SCHB.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy SCHB at your own broker.
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Signal computed Aug 7, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.