Australian Stocks signal
QAN

QAN

Qantas Airways Limited · Industrials

Australian StocksAirlinesASXAUD-8.2% from ATH
Current Price

$10.61

Drawdown from ATH

-8.2%

Last Updated

Jul 5, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against QAN's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: QAN's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-4.33%
Jul 2Aug 12
About QAN

Qantas Airways Limited

Qantas Airways Limited provides air transportation services in Australia and internationally. The company operates through Qantas Domestic, Qantas International, Jetstar Group, and Qantas Loyalty segments. It offers cargo, passengers, and air freight services; and customer loyalty recognition programs. The company operates under the Qantas and Jetstar brands. Qantas Airways Limited was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Mascot, Australia.

The reading

How Dipsern reads QAN right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is QAN doing right now?

In plain terms: QAN is 8.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now QAN — Qantas Airways Ltd. — is in a shallow pullback, down 8.2% from its record high. Last price: $10.61. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for QAN — 641 confirmed observations in the 10%-to-5% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for QAN

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to QAN's own volatility history. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to QAN's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

BHP Group Ltd.

-7.8% from ATH

Downer EDI Ltd.

-7.1% from ATH

Lottery Corporation Ltd.

-6.8% from ATH

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corp. Ltd.

-6.7% from ATH

Aurizon Holdings Ltd.

-6.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for QAN. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%32
-80% to -75%331
-75% to -70%326
-70% to -65%221
-65% to -60%132
-60% to -55%166
-55% to -50%273
-50% to -45%305
-45% to -40%283
-40% to -35%359
-35% to -30%517
-30% to -25%601
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of QAN's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock QAN's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for QAN.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy QAN at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jul 5, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.