Phillips 66 · Energy
$273.13
-0.4%
Sep 18, 2026
D
WeakGraded against PSX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: PSX's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels. The Midstream segment provides crude oil and refined petroleum product transportation, terminaling, and storage services, as well as natural gas and natural gas liquids (NGL) gathering, processing, transportation, fractionation, storage and m
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: PSX is 0.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Phillips 66 (PSX) sits 0.4% off its peak and is currently at or near all-time highs, last printing at $273.13. That puts PSX in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for PSX — 918 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for PSX reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to PSX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for PSX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of PSX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for PSX.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy PSX at your own broker.
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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.