US Stocks signal
OXY

OXY

Occidental Petroleum Corporation · Energy

US StocksOil & Gas E&PNYQUSD-18.3% from ATH
Current Price

$58.65

Drawdown from ATH

-18.3%

Last Updated

Aug 11, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against OXY's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: OXY's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+19.47%
Jun 29Aug 10
About OXY

Occidental Petroleum Corporation

Occidental Petroleum Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the acquisition, exploration, and development of oil and gas properties in the United States and internationally. It operates through Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops, and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and natural gas. This segment also optimizes its transportation and storage capacity and invests in entities. The Midstream and Marketing s

The reading

How Dipsern reads OXY right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is OXY doing right now?

In plain terms: OXY is 18.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Occidental Petroleum (OXY) is trading in a moderate correction, 18.3% below its all-time high at $58.65. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, OXY has spent enough trading days in the 20%-to-15% drawdown band to build a large sample (1577 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for OXY

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for OXY is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to OXY's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

AvalonBay Communities

-18.4% from ATH

Amcor

-18.1% from ATH

Keurig Dr Pepper

-19.0% from ATH

McDonald's

-19.3% from ATH

TransDigm Group

-19.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for OXY. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%50
-85% to -80%80
-80% to -75%63
-75% to -70%36
-70% to -65%98
-65% to -60%84
-60% to -55%66
-55% to -50%69
-50% to -45%166
-45% to -40%275
-40% to -35%441
-35% to -30%800
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of OXY's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock OXY's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for OXY.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy OXY at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 11, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.