US Stocks signal
NSC

NSC

Norfolk Southern Corporation · Industrials

US StocksRailroadsNYQUSD-4.6% from ATH
Current Price

$310.81

Drawdown from ATH

-4.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against NSC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: NSC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-0.45%
May 5Jun 16
About NSC

Norfolk Southern Corporation

Norfolk Southern Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the rail transportation of raw materials, intermediate products, and finished goods in the United States. The company transports agriculture, forest, and consumer products comprising soybeans, wheat, corn, fertilizers, livestock and poultry feed, food products, food oils, flour, sweeteners, ethanol, lumber and wood products, pulp board and paper products, wood fibers, wood pulp, beverages, and canned goods; chemicals, inclu

The reading

How Dipsern reads NSC right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is NSC doing right now?

In plain terms: NSC is 4.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now NSC — Norfolk Southern — is in a shallow pullback, down 4.6% from its record high. Last price: $310.81. A move of this size is statistically unremarkable. It's the kind of pullback that bounces fast or extends into a deeper correction; the next leg is what matters.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

NSC reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (3439 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for NSC

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This drawdown band tends to mean-revert quickly. The Dipsern win rate here is informative — if it's well above 50%, momentum traders treat these dips as buy-the-pullback setups.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to NSC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

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Analog Devices

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Lam Research

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Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for NSC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%18
-65% to -60%82
-60% to -55%148
-55% to -50%149
-50% to -45%330
-45% to -40%310
-40% to -35%310
-35% to -30%313
-30% to -25%624
-25% to -20%650
-20% to -15%1106
-15% to -10%1629
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of NSC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock NSC's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for NSC.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy NSC at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.