NRG

How is NRG doing right now?

In plain terms: NRG is 28% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

NRG (NRG Energy) is 28.0% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a deep drawdown, with the last trade at $132.1. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for NRG — 214 confirmed observations in the 30%-to-25% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for NRG

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for NRG reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.