NMRUSD

How is NMRUSD doing right now?

In plain terms: NMRUSD is 90.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Numeraire (NMRUSD) sits 90.3% off its peak and is currently in a historic crash, last printing at $8.6. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for NMRUSD — 426 confirmed observations in the 95%-to-90% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in crypto return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for NMRUSD

For crypto, drawdown depth is only half the story. The Dipsern signal pairs it with prediction error, so you can see when historical signals at this level were accurate versus when they were noisy. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.