US Stocks signal
MKTX

MKTX

MarketAxess Holdings Inc. · Financial Services

US StocksCapital MarketsNMSUSD-77.4% from ATH
Current Price

$124.81

Drawdown from ATH

-77.4%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

B

Solid

Graded against MKTX's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: A solid but not standout setup based on MKTX's own past dips at this level.

What to do: Fine for dollar-cost-averaging; a deeper dip has historically graded higher.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-17.05%
May 5Jun 16
About MKTX

MarketAxess Holdings Inc.

MarketAxess Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates an electronic trading platform for institutional investor and broker-dealer firms in the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. The company offers trading technology to access liquidity on its platforms in U.S. high-grade bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, emerging market debt, eurobonds, municipal bonds, U.S. government bonds, and other fixed-income securities; and executes bond trades between and among institutiona

The reading

How Dipsern reads MKTX right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MKTX doing right now?

In plain terms: MKTX is 77.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now MKTX — MarketAxess Holdings — is in a historic crash, down 77.4% from its record high. Last price: $124.81. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, MKTX has spent enough trading days in the 80%-to-75% drawdown band to build a modest sample (22 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for MKTX

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MKTX's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Lululemon Athletica

-77.4% from ATH

PG&E Corporation

-76.1% from ATH

Align Technology

-75.4% from ATH

Atlassian

-80.8% from ATH

Strategy (MicroStrategy)

-74.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MKTX. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%2
-80% to -75%Current22
-75% to -70%57
-70% to -65%225
-65% to -60%385
-60% to -55%331
-55% to -50%477
-50% to -45%233
-45% to -40%209
-40% to -35%212
-35% to -30%194
-30% to -25%162
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MKTX's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MKTX's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MKTX.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MKTX at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.