Brazilian Stocks signal
MGLU3

MGLU3

Magazine Luiza S.A. · Consumer Cyclical

Brazilian StocksSpecialty RetailSAOBRL-97.9% from ATH
Current Price

$5.00

Drawdown from ATH

-97.9%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against MGLU3's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MGLU3's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-37.50%
May 5Jun 16
About MGLU3

Magazine Luiza S.A.

Magazine Luiza S.A. engages in the retail sale of consumer goods. It operates through Retail, Financial Operations, Insurance Operations, and Other Services segments. The company also grants credit and provides extended warranties for its products. In addition, it is involved in the provision of consortium and management services; and e-commerce of perfumes, cosmetics, sports, and fashion products, as well as product delivery management and software development services. Further, the company pro

The reading

How Dipsern reads MGLU3 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MGLU3 doing right now?

In plain terms: MGLU3 is 97.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Magazine Luiza SA (MGLU3) is trading in a historic crash, 97.9% below its all-time high at $5. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for MGLU3 — 432 confirmed observations in the 100%-to-95% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in brazilian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for MGLU3

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to MGLU3's own volatility history. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other Brazilian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MGLU3's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Gerdau SA

-98.3% from ATH

CVC Brasil Operadora e Agencia de Viagens SA

-97.4% from ATH

Lojas Renner SA

-99.8% from ATH

Hapvida Participacoes e Investimentos SA

-95.9% from ATH

CEMIG SA

-99.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MGLU3. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%Current432
-95% to -90%293
-90% to -85%285
-85% to -80%129
-80% to -75%140
-75% to -70%94
-70% to -65%109
-65% to -60%53
-60% to -55%116
-55% to -50%179
-50% to -45%202
-45% to -40%96
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MGLU3's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MGLU3's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MGLU3.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MGLU3 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.