European Stocks signal
MBG

MBG

Mercedes-Benz Group AG · Consumer Cyclical

European StocksAuto ManufacturersGEREUR-26.0% from ATH
Current Price

$45.24

Drawdown from ATH

-26.0%

Last Updated

Jul 5, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against MBG's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: MBG's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+9.30%
Jun 29Aug 7
About MBG

Mercedes-Benz Group AG

Mercedes-Benz Group AG operates as an automotive company in Europe, Germany, North America, the United States, Asia, China, and internationally. It operates through Mercedes-Benz Cars, Mercedes-Benz Vans, and Mercedes-Benz Financial Services segments. The company develops, manufactures, and sells cars and vans under the Mercedes-Benz, Mercedes-AMG, Mercedes-Maybach, G-Class brands, as well as related spare parts and accessories. It also provides financing, leasing, vehicle subscription and renta

The reading

How Dipsern reads MBG right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is MBG doing right now?

In plain terms: MBG is 26% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now MBG — Mercedes-Benz Group AG — is in a deep drawdown, down 26.0% from its record high. Last price: $45.24. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for MBG specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

MBG reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (622 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for MBG

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to MBG's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other European Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to MBG's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Symrise AG

-26.3% from ATH

DSM-Firmenich AG

-26.6% from ATH

Henkel AG & Co. KGaA

-27.0% from ATH

Heidelberg Materials AG

-25.0% from ATH

Brenntag SE

-27.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for MBG. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%6
-75% to -70%44
-70% to -65%206
-65% to -60%244
-60% to -55%426
-55% to -50%422
-50% to -45%458
-45% to -40%587
-40% to -35%535
-35% to -30%698
-30% to -25%Current622
-25% to -20%543
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of MBG's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock MBG's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for MBG.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy MBG at your own broker.

Analyze MBG Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jul 5, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.