LITE

How is LITE doing right now?

In plain terms: LITE is 16.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now LITE — Lumentum — is in a moderate correction, down 16.9% from its record high. Last price: $875.36. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

What history says at this drawdown

LITE reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (388 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

What this means for LITE

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for LITE is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.