ITC Limited · Consumer Defensive
$291.65
-38.8%
Jun 17, 2026
D
WeakGraded against ITC's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: ITC's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
ITC Limited engages in the fast-moving consumer goods, paperboards, paper and packaging, and agri businesses in India and internationally. The company offers cigarettes and cigars; foods, including staples, spices, biscuits, confectionery and gums, snacks, noodles and pasta, beverages, dairy products, ready-to-eat meals, chocolates, coffee, and frozen foods; personal care products; education and stationery, such as balls, gels and roller pens, mechanical pencils, geometry boxes, erasers, sharpen
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: ITC is 38.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
As of the latest market close, ITC Ltd. (ITC) is trading in a severe drawdown, 38.8% below its all-time high at $291.65. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what ITC did after similar episodes.
Across all available history, ITC has spent enough trading days in the 40%-to-35% drawdown band to build a large sample (391 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ITC's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.
Five tickers closest to ITC's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ITC. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of ITC's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ITC.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ITC at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.