IRFC

How is IRFC doing right now?

In plain terms: IRFC is 53.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now IRFC — Indian Railway Finance Corporation Ltd. — is in a severe drawdown, down 53.5% from its record high. Last price: $97.63. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what IRFC did after similar episodes.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, IRFC has spent enough trading days in the 55%-to-50% drawdown band to build a modest sample (15 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for IRFC

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to IRFC's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.