UK Stocks signal
GAW

GAW

Games Workshop Group PLC · Consumer Cyclical

UK StocksLeisureLSEGBp-3.3% from ATH
Current Price

$19,950.00

Drawdown from ATH

-3.3%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against GAW's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: GAW's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-0.60%
May 1Jun 15
About GAW

Games Workshop Group PLC

Games Workshop Group PLC, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the design, manufacture, distribution, and sale of fantasy miniature figures and games in the United Kingdom, Continental Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand, Asia, and internationally. It operates in two segments, Core and Licensing. The company offers games under the Warhammer 40,000, Warhammer: The Horus Heresy, Warhammer: The Old World, Warhammer: Age of Sigmar, Necromunda, Blood Bowl, and the Lord of the Rings br

The reading

How Dipsern reads GAW right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is GAW doing right now?

In plain terms: GAW is 3.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Games Workshop Group (GAW) sits 3.3% off its peak and is currently in a shallow pullback, last printing at $19,950. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically UK Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

GAW reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (1380 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for GAW

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to GAW's own volatility history. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other UK Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to GAW's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Diploma plc

-3.4% from ATH

Anglo American plc

-3.2% from ATH

Antofagasta plc

-3.7% from ATH

Next plc

-2.6% from ATH

Lion Finance Group

-4.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for GAW. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%35
-85% to -80%234
-80% to -75%273
-75% to -70%171
-70% to -65%349
-65% to -60%197
-60% to -55%524
-55% to -50%531
-50% to -45%455
-45% to -40%497
-40% to -35%536
-35% to -30%378
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of GAW's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock GAW's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for GAW.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy GAW at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.