ETFs signal
FCOM

FCOM

Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF

ETFsPCXUSD-4.6% from ATH
Current Price

$72.12

Drawdown from ATH

-4.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against FCOM's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: FCOM's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-2.25%
May 5Jun 16
About FCOM

Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF

The fund invests at least 80% of assets in securities included in the fund's underlying index. The fund's underlying index is the MSCI USA IMI Communication Services 25/50 Index, which represents the performance of the communication services sector in the U.S. equity market. It may or may not hold all of the securities in the MSCI USA IMI Communication Services 25/50 Index. The fund is non-diversified.

The reading

How Dipsern reads FCOM right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is FCOM doing right now?

In plain terms: FCOM is 4.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

FCOM (Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF) is 4.6% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $72.12. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically ETFs assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

FCOM reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (1692 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for FCOM

For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.

Comparable signals

Other ETFs at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to FCOM's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Vanguard Consumer Staples ETF

-4.6% from ATH

Vanguard Utilities ETF

-4.6% from ATH

Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR Fund

-4.7% from ATH

iShares MSCI France ETF

-4.6% from ATH

iShares U.S. Healthcare ETF

-4.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for FCOM. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-50% to -45%18
-45% to -40%68
-40% to -35%99
-35% to -30%106
-30% to -25%122
-25% to -20%78
-20% to -15%68
-15% to -10%218
-10% to -5%648
-5% to 0%Current1692
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of FCOM's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock FCOM's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for FCOM.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy FCOM at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.