Expeditors International of Washington, Inc. · Industrials
$164.02
-1.6%
Jun 17, 2026
D
WeakGraded against EXPD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: EXPD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides logistics services in the Americas, North Asia, South Asia, Europe, and Middle East, Africa, and India. The company offers airfreight services, such as air freight consolidation and forwarding; ocean freight and ocean services, including ocean freight consolidation, direct ocean forwarding, and order management; customs brokerage and other services, import, intra-continental ground transportation and delivery,
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: EXPD is 1.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
EXPD (Expeditors International) is 1.6% below its historical peak. Tape reads at or near all-time highs, with the last trade at $164.02. That puts EXPD in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
History at this drawdown level is well-populated for EXPD — 2831 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.
S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for EXPD reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to EXPD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for EXPD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of EXPD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for EXPD.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy EXPD at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.