Australian Stocks signal
EDV

EDV

Endeavour Group Limited · Consumer Defensive

Australian StocksBeverages - Wineries & DistilleriesASXAUD-54.2% from ATH
Current Price

$3.25

Drawdown from ATH

-54.2%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against EDV's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: EDV's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-0.15%
May 6Jun 17
About EDV

Endeavour Group Limited

Endeavour Group Limited engages in the retail drinks and hospitality businesses in Australia. It operates through Retail, Hotels, and Other segments. The company operates stores that procure, manufacture, and sell drinks; and hotels that provide on-premises bars, food and drinks, wagering, accommodation, live entertainment, and gaming services. It operates under the Dan Murphy's, BWS, Pinnacle, Nightcap, ALH, DELIVERY, FULFILLED, LANGTONS, MixIn, Paragon Wine Estates, endeavourX, and other brand

The reading

How Dipsern reads EDV right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is EDV doing right now?

In plain terms: EDV is 54.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

EDV (Endeavour Group Ltd.) is 54.2% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $3.25. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

EDV reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (45 observations), which is a modest sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for EDV

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to EDV's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to EDV's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Worley Ltd.

-54.0% from ATH

Telix Pharmaceuticals Ltd.

-54.0% from ATH

AGL Energy Ltd.

-51.3% from ATH

Seek Ltd.

-57.6% from ATH

Ramsay Health Care Ltd.

-50.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for EDV. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-55% to -50%Current45
-50% to -45%178
-45% to -40%121
-40% to -35%91
-35% to -30%204
-30% to -25%36
-25% to -20%84
-20% to -15%77
-15% to -10%96
-10% to -5%92
-5% to 0%176
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of EDV's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock EDV's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for EDV.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy EDV at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.