Australian Stocks signal
DOW

DOW

Downer EDI Limited · Industrials

Australian StocksEngineering & ConstructionASXAUD-22.8% from ATH
Current Price

$6.56

Drawdown from ATH

-22.8%

Last Updated

Sep 18, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against DOW's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: DOW's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-13.75%
Aug 10Sep 18
About DOW

Downer EDI Limited

Downer EDI Limited operates as an integrated facilities management services provider in Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through Transport; Energy & Utilities; and Facilities segments. The Transport segment offers road network management; routine road maintenance; asset management systems; spray sealing; asphalt laying; landfill diversion solutions; rollingstock to infrastructure services; and building and construction solutions, such as signalling, track and station work

The reading

How Dipsern reads DOW right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is DOW doing right now?

In plain terms: DOW is 22.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Downer EDI Ltd. (DOW) is trading in a deep drawdown, 22.8% below its all-time high at $6.56. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for DOW specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for DOW — 676 confirmed observations in the 25%-to-20% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in australian stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for DOW

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to DOW's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to DOW's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Amcor PLC

-23.6% from ATH

Atlas Arteria

-22.0% from ATH

GPT Group

-23.7% from ATH

Wesfarmers Ltd.

-21.5% from ATH

Qantas Airways Ltd.

-24.5% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for DOW. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%30
-65% to -60%173
-60% to -55%503
-55% to -50%607
-50% to -45%574
-45% to -40%643
-40% to -35%962
-35% to -30%703
-30% to -25%545
-25% to -20%Current676
-20% to -15%710
-15% to -10%605
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of DOW's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock DOW's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for DOW.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy DOW at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 18, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.