Dimensional International Value ETF
$56.00
-0.2%
Jun 17, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against DFIV's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: DFIV's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
The Advisor buys and sells securities for the Portfolio with the goals of: (i) delaying and minimizing the realization of net capital gains (e.g., selling stocks with capital losses to offset gains, realized or anticipated); and (ii) maximizing the extent to which any realized net capital gains are long-term in nature (i.e., taxable at lower capital gains tax rates). The fund is designed to generally purchase securities of large non-U.S. companies in countries with developed markets that the Adv
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: DFIV is 0.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
DFIV (Dimensional International Value ETF) is 0.2% below its historical peak. Tape reads at or near all-time highs, with the last trade at $56. That puts DFIV in a momentum regime: buyers are in control and there's no meaningful technical damage on the chart yet.
Across all available history, DFIV has spent enough trading days in the 5%-to-0% drawdown band to build a large sample (790 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. At this level the Dipsern signal is mostly tracking momentum, not mean reversion. Most buying-the-dip frameworks aren't relevant when there is no dip.
Five tickers closest to DFIV's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
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SPDR Portfolio Developed World ex-US ETF
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Vanguard Short-Term Inflation-Protected Securities ETF
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SPDR S&P MidCap 400 ETF Trust
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Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for DFIV. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of DFIV's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for DFIV.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy DFIV at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.