US Stocks signal
C

CASY

Casey's General Stores, Inc.

US Stocks-14.2% from ATH
Current Price

$761.91

Drawdown from ATH

-14.2%

Last Updated

Jun 8, 2026

Dipsern Grade

D

Weak
Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-4.64%
Apr 24Jun 5
The reading

How Dipsern reads CASY right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is CASY doing right now?

As of the latest market close, Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) is trading in a moderate correction, 14.2% below its all-time high at $761.91. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for CASY — 1577 confirmed observations in the 15%-to-10% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for CASY

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for CASY is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to CASY's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

CrowdStrike

-14.2% from ATH

RTX Corporation

-14.3% from ATH

Vale S.A.

-14.5% from ATH

Mondelez International

-13.9% from ATH

Microchip Technology

-13.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for CASY. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%41
-70% to -65%54
-65% to -60%46
-60% to -55%91
-55% to -50%224
-50% to -45%107
-45% to -40%144
-40% to -35%271
-35% to -30%534
-30% to -25%744
-25% to -20%792
-20% to -15%1146
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of CASY's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

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Signal computed Jun 8, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.