CAP

How is CAP doing right now?

In plain terms: CAP is 52.2% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now CAP — Capgemini SE — is in a severe drawdown, down 52.2% from its record high. Last price: $104.35. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what CAP did after similar episodes.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, CAP has spent enough trading days in the 55%-to-50% drawdown band to build a large sample (487 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for CAP

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to CAP's own volatility history. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.