UK Stocks signal
BP

BP

BP p.l.c. · Energy

UK StocksOil & Gas IntegratedLSEGBp-26.6% from ATH
Current Price

$517.00

Drawdown from ATH

-26.6%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against BP's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: BP's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-9.59%
May 1Jun 15
About BP

BP p.l.c.

BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, engages in the oil and gas business worldwide. The company operates through Gas & Low Carbon Energy, Oil Production & Operations, and Customers & Products segments. It engages in the production of natural gas, marketing, and trading activities, as well as solar, wind, and hydrogen businesses. The company also offers aviation fuel products and services, such as jet fuel; aviation gasoline; UL91 aviation fuel; and sustainable aviation fuel. In addition, it

The reading

How Dipsern reads BP right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is BP doing right now?

In plain terms: BP is 26.6% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now BP — BP plc — is in a deep drawdown, down 26.6% from its record high. Last price: $517. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for BP specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

BP reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (797 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for BP

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to BP's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other UK Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to BP's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

ICG plc

-26.6% from ATH

Unilever plc

-25.6% from ATH

Fresnillo plc

-28.0% from ATH

London Stock Exchange Group

-24.6% from ATH

Pershing Square Holdings

-23.1% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for BP. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-75% to -70%17
-70% to -65%28
-65% to -60%82
-60% to -55%214
-55% to -50%231
-50% to -45%373
-45% to -40%514
-40% to -35%1406
-35% to -30%1197
-30% to -25%Current797
-25% to -20%775
-20% to -15%782
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of BP's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock BP's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for BP.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy BP at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.