European Stocks signal
BMW

BMW

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft · Consumer Cyclical

European StocksAuto ManufacturersGEREUR-29.5% from ATH
Current Price

$68.34

Drawdown from ATH

-29.5%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against BMW's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: BMW's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-6.40%
May 5Jun 15
About BMW

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft

Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft develops, manufactures, and sells automobiles and motorcycles, spare parts, and accessories worldwide. It operates through Automotive, Motorcycles, and Financial Services segments. The company offers automobiles under the BMW, MINI, and Rolls-Royce brands. It also develops, manufactures, and sells scooters, and motorcycles for private use and special-purpose vehicles for operational use under the BMW Motorrad brand. In addition, the company provides ca

The reading

How Dipsern reads BMW right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is BMW doing right now?

In plain terms: BMW is 29.5% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Bayerische Motoren Werke AG (BMW) is trading in a deep drawdown, 29.5% below its all-time high at $68.34. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for BMW specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for BMW — 903 confirmed observations in the 30%-to-25% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in european stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for BMW

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to BMW's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other European Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to BMW's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Heineken NV

-29.5% from ATH

Solaria Energia y Medio Ambiente SA

-30.0% from ATH

Amadeus IT Group SA

-30.7% from ATH

Nestle SA

-28.2% from ATH

Brenntag SE

-27.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for BMW. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-70% to -65%2
-65% to -60%37
-60% to -55%68
-55% to -50%89
-50% to -45%157
-45% to -40%295
-40% to -35%504
-35% to -30%646
-30% to -25%Current903
-25% to -20%970
-20% to -15%932
-15% to -10%885
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of BMW's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock BMW's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for BMW.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy BMW at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.