Australian Dollar / US Dollar · Foreign Exchange
$0.706714
-36.0%
Jun 17, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against AUDUSD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: AUDUSD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
AUD/USD tracks the exchange rate between the Australian Dollar and the US Dollar. It is one of the most actively traded currency pairs in the global forex market, reflecting relative monetary policy, inflation, and economic growth between the two economies.
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: AUDUSD is 36% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Right now AUDUSD — AUD/USD — is in a severe drawdown, down 36.0% from its record high. Last price: $0.7067. Severe drawdowns separate structurally sound assets from the ones that don't recover. The historical data below shows what AUDUSD did after similar episodes.
Across all available history, AUDUSD has spent enough trading days in the 40%-to-35% drawdown band to build a large sample (987 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
FX pairs rarely drawdown like equities — a 20%+ move is already extreme and usually macro-driven. The Dipsern segmentation still applies but the bands are typically shallower. At this depth, focus on prediction error and sample size before median return. A high historical median return at -40% means nothing if the prediction error was also 30%.
Five tickers closest to AUDUSD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for AUDUSD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of AUDUSD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for AUDUSD.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy AUDUSD at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.