European Stocks signal
ASML

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. · Technology

European StocksSemiconductor Equipment & MaterialsNMSUSD-16.0% from ATH
Current Price

$1,446.00

Drawdown from ATH

-16.0%

Last Updated

Sep 19, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against ASML's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ASML's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-4.48%
Aug 10Sep 18
About ASML

ASML Holding N.V.

ASML Holding N.V. provides lithography solutions for the development, production, marketing, sales, upgrading, and servicing of advanced semiconductor equipment systems. The company offers lithography, metrology, and inspection systems. It also provides extreme ultraviolet lithography systems; and deep ultraviolet lithography systems comprising immersion and dry lithography systems solutions to manufacture various range of semiconductor nodes and technologies. In addition, the company offers met

The reading

How Dipsern reads ASML right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ASML doing right now?

In plain terms: ASML is 16% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

ASML Holding NV (ASML) sits 16.0% off its peak and is currently in a moderate correction, last printing at $1,446. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

ASML reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (460 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for ASML

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to ASML's own volatility history. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other European Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ASML's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Compagnie Financiere Richemont SA

-15.9% from ATH

Veolia Environnement SA

-15.4% from ATH

UBS Group AG

-15.3% from ATH

Legrand SA

-15.2% from ATH

A2A SpA

-14.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ASML. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-90% to -85%108
-85% to -80%115
-80% to -75%397
-75% to -70%546
-70% to -65%385
-65% to -60%364
-60% to -55%323
-55% to -50%279
-50% to -45%221
-45% to -40%190
-40% to -35%199
-35% to -30%222
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ASML's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ASML's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ASML.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ASML at your own broker.

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Signal computed Sep 19, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.