ETFs signal
ARKQ

ARKQ

ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF

ETFsBTSUSD-11.1% from ATH
Current Price

$127.85

Drawdown from ATH

-11.1%

Last Updated

Aug 10, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against ARKQ's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ARKQ's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days+3.44%
Jun 26Aug 7
About ARKQ

ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF

The fund is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund that will invest under normal circumstances primarily (at least 80% of its assets) in domestic and foreign equity securities of autonomous technology and robotics companies that are relevant to the fund's investment theme of disruptive innovation. Substantially all of the fund's assets will be invested in equity securities, including common stocks, partnership interests, business trust shares and other equity investments or ownership interests

The reading

How Dipsern reads ARKQ right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ARKQ doing right now?

In plain terms: ARKQ is 11.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

ARKQ (ARK Autonomous Technology & Robotics ETF) is 11.1% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a moderate correction, with the last trade at $127.85. A drawdown of this depth is where patient buyers start paying attention. Historically the asymmetry begins to favor accumulation here, especially when paired with structural demand.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, ARKQ has spent enough trading days in the 15%-to-10% drawdown band to build a large sample (313 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for ARKQ

For broad-index ETFs the historical base rate is exceptionally stable; for narrow thematic ETFs (e.g., ARKK, cannabis, leveraged), drawdowns are deeper and the sample size at each band is smaller. Moderate corrections are the highest-information zone for the Dipsern signal: enough drawdown for mean-reversion to matter, not so much that fundamentals are likely broken. Watch the prediction-error column — if past signals at this level were accurate, the current one is more trustworthy.

Comparable signals

Other ETFs at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ARKQ's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF

-10.6% from ATH

iShares 7-10 Year Treasury Bond ETF

-12.4% from ATH

VanEck Semiconductor ETF

-12.9% from ATH

SPDR S&P Biotech ETF

-9.0% from ATH

Vanguard Global ex-U.S. Real Estate ETF

-8.9% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ARKQ. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-60% to -55%43
-55% to -50%124
-50% to -45%206
-45% to -40%226
-40% to -35%69
-35% to -30%70
-30% to -25%60
-25% to -20%115
-20% to -15%242
-15% to -10%Current313
-10% to -5%441
-5% to 0%1010
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ARKQ's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ARKQ's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ARKQ.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ARKQ at your own broker.

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Signal computed Aug 10, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.