Australian Stocks signal
APE

APE

Eagers Automotive Limited · Consumer Cyclical

Australian StocksAuto & Truck DealershipsASXAUD-34.1% from ATH
Current Price

$22.37

Drawdown from ATH

-34.1%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against APE's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: APE's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-4.65%
May 6Jun 17
About APE

Eagers Automotive Limited

Eagers Automotive Limited owns and operates motor vehicle dealerships in Australia and New Zealand. It operates in two segments, Car Retailing and Property. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles, vehicle maintenance and repair services, vehicle parts, service contracts, vehicle brokerage services, vehicle protection products, and other aftermarket products. It also engages in facilitating financing for vehicle purchases through third-part

The reading

How Dipsern reads APE right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is APE doing right now?

In plain terms: APE is 34.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now APE — Eagers Automotive Ltd. — is in a deep drawdown, down 34.1% from its record high. Last price: $22.37. Asset price action of this severity has historically marked attractive entry zones — but only when fundamentals weren't permanently impaired. The historical median return below quantifies that pattern for APE specifically.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, APE has spent enough trading days in the 35%-to-30% drawdown band to build a large sample (687 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for APE

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to APE's own volatility history. Below 20% drawdowns the historical median forward return often becomes attractive — but with rising variance. The win-rate column in the segments table is more useful than the median at this depth.

Comparable signals

Other Australian Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to APE's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Ramelius Resources Ltd.

-33.4% from ATH

JB Hi-Fi Ltd.

-33.1% from ATH

Car Group Ltd.

-33.1% from ATH

Mirvac Group

-35.3% from ATH

Stockland

-35.3% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for APE. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%7
-75% to -70%47
-70% to -65%39
-65% to -60%58
-60% to -55%50
-55% to -50%150
-50% to -45%379
-45% to -40%304
-40% to -35%292
-35% to -30%Current687
-30% to -25%690
-25% to -20%629
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of APE's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock APE's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for APE.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy APE at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.