AMAT

How is AMAT doing right now?

In plain terms: AMAT is 3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

AMAT (Applied Materials) is 3.0% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a shallow pullback, with the last trade at $568.23. Shallow pullbacks like this are routine — historically US Stocks assets revisit a 5-10% dip several times a year, and most resolve back to highs within weeks.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for AMAT — 1440 confirmed observations in the 5%-to-0% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for AMAT

S&P 500 names behave differently from small-caps at the same drawdown level — the Dipsern segmentation is per-ticker, so historical base rates for AMAT reflect its own volatility regime, not the market's. Shallow pullbacks are where dip-buying frameworks start to pay off, but only marginally. The median forward return in shallow bands is usually positive but not dramatic.