US Stocks signal
ADBE

ADBE

Adobe Inc. · Technology

US StocksSoftware - ApplicationNMSUSD-69.9% from ATH
Current Price

$207.32

Drawdown from ATH

-69.9%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

B

Solid

Graded against ADBE's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: A solid but not standout setup based on ADBE's own past dips at this level.

What to do: Fine for dollar-cost-averaging; a deeper dip has historically graded higher.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-18.90%
May 5Jun 16
About ADBE

Adobe Inc.

Adobe Inc. operates as a technology company worldwide. The Digital Media segment offers products and services that enable individuals, teams, and enterprises to create, publish, and promote content. This segment serves photographers, video editors, graphic and experience designers, game developers, content creators, students, marketers, business owners, knowledge workers, and consumers. The Digital Experience segment provides an integrated platform; and products, services, and solutions that ena

The reading

How Dipsern reads ADBE right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ADBE doing right now?

In plain terms: ADBE is 69.9% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now ADBE — Adobe Inc. — is in a historic crash, down 69.9% from its record high. Last price: $207.32. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for ADBE — 146 confirmed observations in the 70%-to-65% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in us stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

Interpretation

What this means for ADBE

For US large-caps, drawdowns of 20-30% are typically driven by macro repricing (rates, earnings, sector rotation). Single-name 50%+ drawdowns are usually structural — the signal alone won't tell you which, but the segments table will show whether prior episodes recovered. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other US Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ADBE's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings

-68.1% from ATH

CoStar Group

-67.9% from ATH

AES Corporation

-67.1% from ATH

Strategy (MicroStrategy)

-74.1% from ATH

Warner Bros. Discovery

-65.6% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ADBE. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-80% to -75%44
-75% to -70%38
-70% to -65%Current146
-65% to -60%190
-60% to -55%367
-55% to -50%621
-50% to -45%743
-45% to -40%699
-40% to -35%593
-35% to -30%796
-30% to -25%701
-25% to -20%627
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ADBE's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ADBE's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ADBE.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ADBE at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.