Crypto signal
ADAUSD

ADAUSD

Cardano USD

CryptoCCCUSD-94.1% from ATH
Current Price

$0.173800

Drawdown from ATH

-94.1%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against ADAUSD's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: ADAUSD's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-29.98%
May 19Jun 17
About ADAUSD

Cardano USD

Cardano (ADA) is a cryptocurrency launched in 2017. Cardano has a current supply of 44,994,439,995.921887 with 36,096,440,525.578679 in circulation. The last known price of Cardano is 0.26126906 USD and is down -0.30 over the last 24 hours. It is currently trading on 1692 active market(s) with $470,887,951.12 traded over the last 24 hours. More information can be found at https://www.cardano.org.

The reading

How Dipsern reads ADAUSD right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is ADAUSD doing right now?

In plain terms: ADAUSD is 94.1% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

As of the latest market close, Cardano (ADAUSD) is trading in a historic crash, 94.1% below its all-time high at $0.1738. When an asset is this far below its peak, the binary becomes recovery vs. zero. Dipsern's segmentation answers the question with data, not narratives.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, ADAUSD has spent enough trading days in the 95%-to-90% drawdown band to build a large sample (570 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for ADAUSD

Crypto assets exhibit much wider drawdown bands than equities (60%+ drawdowns are common) and the segmentation matters even more here. Use the win-rate column as your primary filter — median return alone can mask high-variance outcomes. In crash territory, the most informative number is the worst observed forward return — not the median. The full app shows the max-loss column for the current segment.

Comparable signals

Other Crypto at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to ADAUSD's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Worldcoin

-94.1% from ATH

Ethena

-94.0% from ATH

Ethereum Classic

-94.4% from ATH

Bitcoin Cash

-94.5% from ATH

Shiba Inu

-93.7% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for ADAUSD. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-100% to -95%394
-95% to -90%Current570
-90% to -85%692
-85% to -80%343
-80% to -75%219
-75% to -70%192
-70% to -65%126
-65% to -60%75
-60% to -55%36
-55% to -50%23
-50% to -45%28
-45% to -40%37
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of ADAUSD's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock ADAUSD's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for ADAUSD.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy ADAUSD at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.