AAVEUSD

How is AAVEUSD doing right now?

In plain terms: AAVEUSD is 87.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Aave (AAVEUSD) sits 87.8% off its peak and is currently in a historic crash, last printing at $76.89. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, AAVEUSD has spent enough trading days in the 90%-to-85% drawdown band to build a large sample (537 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

What this means for AAVEUSD

For crypto, drawdown depth is only half the story. The Dipsern signal pairs it with prediction error, so you can see when historical signals at this level were accurate versus when they were noisy. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.