HK/China Stocks signal
9961

9961

Trip.com Group Limited · Consumer Cyclical

HK/China StocksTravel ServicesHKGHKD-39.8% from ATH
Current Price

$366.60

Drawdown from ATH

-39.8%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against 9961's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 9961's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-10.10%
May 6Jun 17
About 9961

Trip.com Group Limited

Trip.com Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, operates as a travel service provider for accommodation reservation, transportation ticketing, packaged tours, in-destination, corporate travel management, and other travel-related services in China and internationally. The company acts as an agent for hotel-related transactions and selling air tickets, as well as provides train, long-distance bus, and ferry tickets; travel insurance products, such as flight delay, air accident, and baggage loss

The reading

How Dipsern reads 9961 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 9961 doing right now?

In plain terms: 9961 is 39.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

9961 (Trip.com Group) is 39.8% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a severe drawdown, with the last trade at $366.6. A 35-60% drawdown is the territory where most retail investors capitulate. It's also where the highest-probability historical entries have clustered for resilient assets.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

9961 reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (95 observations), which is a meaningful sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for 9961

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 9961's own volatility history. Severe drawdowns are where Dipsern's segmentation provides the most edge: ordinary base rates don't apply, but the asset's own history at this exact depth does. The forward-return distribution here is bimodal — either rapid recovery or continued decline.

Comparable signals

Other HK/China Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 9961's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

China Unicom

-39.0% from ATH

Geely Automobile Holdings

-39.0% from ATH

CSPC Pharmaceutical Group

-38.2% from ATH

Haier Smart Home

-37.3% from ATH

Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group

-42.8% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 9961. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-65% to -60%1
-55% to -50%5
-50% to -45%41
-45% to -40%65
-40% to -35%Current95
-35% to -30%84
-30% to -25%73
-25% to -20%122
-20% to -15%173
-15% to -10%207
-10% to -5%187
-5% to 0%157
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 9961's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 9961's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 9961.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 9961 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.