8604

How is 8604 doing right now?

In plain terms: 8604 is 19.4% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

Right now 8604 — Nomura Holdings — is in a moderate correction, down 19.4% from its record high. Last price: $1,435. Corrections in this band are common during macro repricings (rate scares, sector rotations, earnings shocks). The question is whether the cause is durable or transient.

What history says at this drawdown

History at this drawdown level is well-populated for 8604 — 59 confirmed observations in the 20%-to-15% band. The Dipsern engine uses these to compute a rolling median rather than a mean, because medians are robust to the kind of fat tails you find in japanese stocks return distributions. The win rate (% of episodes that closed positive after 90 days) is shown in the segments table below.

What this means for 8604

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 8604's own volatility history. This is the band where most successful "buy the dip" strategies have historically operated. The median forward return here for 8604 is in the full app, alongside the segment-level win rate.