HK/China Stocks signal
600104

600104

SAIC Motor Corporation Limited · Consumer Cyclical

HK/China StocksAuto ManufacturersSHHCNY-62.7% from ATH
Current Price

$10.48

Drawdown from ATH

-62.7%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

C

Marginal

Graded against 600104's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 600104's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-22.88%
May 7Jun 17
About 600104

SAIC Motor Corporation Limited

SAIC Motor Corporation Limited engages in the research and development, production, and sale of vehicles and their parts in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers passenger and commercial vehicles; power drive systems, chassis systems, and interior and exterior trim systems; and components and systems of new energy and smart vehicles, such as batteries, electric drives, and electronic controls. The company also provides logistics and transportation, mobility services, ener

The reading

How Dipsern reads 600104 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 600104 doing right now?

In plain terms: 600104 is 62.7% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

600104 (SAIC Motor Corp.) is 62.7% below its historical peak. Tape reads in a historic crash, with the last trade at $10.48. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

Across all available history, 600104 has spent enough trading days in the 65%-to-60% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (141 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.

Interpretation

What this means for 600104

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 600104's own volatility history. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.

Comparable signals

Other HK/China Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 600104's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Xinyi Glass Holdings

-62.8% from ATH

Alibaba Group

-65.1% from ATH

PetroChina Company

-59.7% from ATH

China Mengniu Dairy

-65.7% from ATH

Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine Factory

-66.4% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 600104. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-85% to -80%93
-80% to -75%39
-75% to -70%54
-70% to -65%79
-65% to -60%Current141
-60% to -55%229
-55% to -50%443
-50% to -45%510
-45% to -40%527
-40% to -35%813
-35% to -30%849
-30% to -25%578
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 600104's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 600104's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 600104.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 600104 at your own broker.

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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.