Shiseido Company, Limited · Consumer Defensive
$2,595.00
-69.3%
Jun 17, 2026
C
MarginalGraded against 4911's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.
What it means: 4911's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.
What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.
Shiseido Company, Limited produces and sells in Japan and internationally. It offers fragrances, skincare, and makeup products through retail channels. The company also engages in the restaurant and food businesses; and operates beauty salons. In addition, it operates and supports SABFA, a professional hair makeup training school. Further, the company manages childcare facilities. It serves its products under the BAUM, BENEFIQUE, Clé de Peau Beauté, Dr. Dennis Gross Skincare, Drunk Elephant, EFF
Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.
In plain terms: 4911 is 69.3% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.
Shiseido Co. (4911) sits 69.3% off its peak and is currently in a historic crash, last printing at $2,595. Historic crashes (60%+ drawdowns) are rare events. For some assets they marked generational entries; for others they were warning signs of permanent capital loss.
Across all available history, 4911 has spent enough trading days in the 70%-to-65% drawdown band to build a meaningful sample (137 observations). Dipsern segments these by drawdown depth and computes the rolling median forward 90-day return — that median is the primary signal you see in the full app, and it's substantially more robust than mean-based forecasts because it ignores fat-tail outliers in both directions.
Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 4911's own volatility history. Crash-level drawdowns are tail events with few historical analogs. The signal should be read as "here's what happened the last few times" rather than a base-rate forecast.
Five tickers closest to 4911's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.
Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 4911. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.
We segment 40+ years of 4911's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.
Years of history
40+
Drawdown bands
20
Look-ahead bias
None
Data sources
4
See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 4911.
Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 4911 at your own broker.
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Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.