HK/China Stocks signal
1299

1299

AIA Group Limited · Financial Services

HK/China StocksInsurance - LifeHKGHKD-22.8% from ATH
Current Price

$75.40

Drawdown from ATH

-22.8%

Last Updated

Jun 17, 2026

Dipsern Grade90d

D

Weak

Graded against 1299's own history at this drawdown — not the market's.

What it means: 1299's own history does not strongly favor buying at this level yet.

What to do: Consider watching and waiting for a deeper dip or a higher grade.

Median 90-Day Return
Historical Win Rate
Last 30 days-13.78%
May 6Jun 17
About 1299

AIA Group Limited

AIA Group Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides life insurance based financial services in Hong Kong. The company offers life insurance, accident, and health insurance and savings plans; and employee benefits, credit life, and pension services to corporate clients. It also involved in the distribution of investment and other financial services products. It sells its products through a network of agents and partners in Mainland China, Macau, Thailand, Singapore, Malaysia, Australia, C

The reading

How Dipsern reads 1299 right now.

Three plain-English paragraphs — current state, historical base rate, and interpretation — so you walk away with context, not a dashboard.

Snapshot

How is 1299 doing right now?

In plain terms: 1299 is 22.8% below its highest-ever price. Dipsern checks every past time it was this far down and grades how the next 90 days usually went.

AIA Group (1299) sits 22.8% off its peak and is currently in a deep drawdown, last printing at $75.4. Deep drawdowns shift the conversation from "is this a buy" to "what's broken". Sometimes it's macro. Sometimes it's the asset itself. Dipsern's data tells you which one history rewarded.

Historical base rate

What history says at this drawdown

1299 reaches this drawdown band repeatedly in its history (307 observations), which is a large sample for the segmentation engine to compute a stable median forward return. The engine uses a rolling 90-day window and gives more weight to recent years — this lets the signal adapt to regime changes (e.g., post-COVID volatility) without losing the long-run base rate.

Interpretation

What this means for 1299

Drawdown-based signals work across asset classes but the magnitude of meaningful moves varies. Dipsern computes the segmentation per-asset so the bands are calibrated to 1299's own volatility history. Deep drawdowns require a story for why this time isn't different. The Dipsern signal can tell you what historically happened next; it can't tell you whether the current setup matches the historical analog.

Comparable signals

Other HK/China Stocks at similar drawdown levels

Five tickers closest to 1299's distance from all-time high. Same category, one tap away.

Chow Tai Fook Jewellery

-22.1% from ATH

Sun Hung Kai Properties

-21.5% from ATH

CNOOC Ltd.

-24.5% from ATH

China Petroleum & Chemical (Sinopec)

-24.6% from ATH

Hong Kong Exchanges & Clearing

-21.0% from ATH

Historical depth

Sample sizes by drawdown band

Dipsern segments the full drawdown range into 20 equal-width bands. The table shows the number of confirmed historical observations in each band for 1299. Median forward returns, win rates, and prediction errors are available in the full analysis.

Drawdown BandObservationsMedian ReturnWin Rate
-60% to -55%1
-55% to -50%11
-50% to -45%117
-45% to -40%112
-40% to -35%152
-35% to -30%118
-30% to -25%220
-25% to -20%Current307
-20% to -15%406
-15% to -10%574
-10% to -5%734
-5% to 0%1038
Methodology

Every grade is reproducible.

We segment 40+ years of 1299's price history into 20 equal-width drawdown bands and compute forward median returns, win rates, and prediction error per band. No look-ahead bias. Pure NumPy. Open math, gated numbers.

Years of history

40+

Drawdown bands

20

Look-ahead bias

None

Data sources

4

Unlock 1299's full analysis

See the Dipsern grade, median returns, win rates, prediction accuracy, 8 interactive charts, historical price paths, and a plain-English verdict for 1299.

Dipsern is research and a second opinion — not a broker. You'd buy 1299 at your own broker.

Analyze 1299 Free

No credit card required · 5 free analyses per month

Signal computed Jun 17, 2026 using default parameters (90-day return period, 20 segments, 0.95 decay). Data sourced from Yahoo Finance, Binance, CoinGecko, and Steam Market.